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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › AZ Alkmaar — NEC Nijmegen

Predictions by Market: AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Home · last 5 W D D D D
Kick-off
Sat 31 Jan · 15:30
1:3
Full-time
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
D D D L W Away · last 5
AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar) · Alkmaar Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ALK
46%
Best 1.87
Draw
21%
Best 4.00
Away Win · NIJ
32%
Best 3.72
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.07
Fair odds
1.86
book 2.07 · +11.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 54% · EV +11.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (68%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 32.3%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 21.4%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 49.3%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 50.7%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 70%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 30%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 87.2%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 12.9%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.3%
Odds 23.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 31.6%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 32.3%
Odds 3.08
Show model details
Implied probability 32.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 53.7%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
ALK – NIJ @ 2.07
+11.2%
Edge
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