Match Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar January 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AZ Alkmaar enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Their offensive capabilities are likely to challenge Telstar's defense, which has shown some vulnerability.

AZ's sharper attack meets Telstar's leaky defense
Home side's compact block may limit chances but struggle to score
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline over frantic pressing

Expect AZ to press their advantage, though Telstar's resilience at home could keep the scoreline respectable. Goals are probable given AZ's attacking edge and the open nature of Telstar's defense.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

STO 3-4-3 · ALK 4-2-3-1

STO · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · ALK

7 Hetli

📊 Statistics

STO 0 – 1 ALK

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.13

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.16

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

AZ Alkmaar won 1–0 away at Telstar. At half-time it was 0–0.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.65 units (Brier 0.231).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.81	—	61%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.38	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.63	—	58%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
BTTS No	2.51	—	37%	Cashed	+1.51	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.52	—	36%	Cashed	+1.52	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.14	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.40	—	61%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.25	—	84%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.55	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.54	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.18	—	84%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	95%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	4.15	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	—	16%	Cashed	+4.50	Cashed
AH Home 0	3.20	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.50	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.65u	+4% ROI