Match NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle January 24, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

NEC Nijmegen enters this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong form run and a notable quality edge over PEC Zwolle. Their offensive prowess is likely to challenge Zwolle’s defense, which has shown vulnerabilities. Meanwhile, Zwolle’s recent form suggests resilience but they face a tough task breaking down NEC’s compact block. Expect a moderately paced game with chances favoring the hosts.

NEC’s home edge and attacking threat
Zwolle’s defensive struggles against strong offenses
Recent form favors NEC’s consistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NIJ 3-4-1-2 · ZWO 4-3-3

NIJ · 3-4-1-2 4-3-3 · ZWO

30 Linssen

📊 Statistics

NIJ 2 – 1 ZWO

45%

Possession (%)

55%

1.50

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.71

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

70%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

NEC Nijmegen beat PEC Zwolle 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.50 to 0.71. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 6. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.19 units (Brier 0.080).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.41	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.78	—	55%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.19	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	59%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.78	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.49	—	69%	Cashed	+0.49	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.15	—	89%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.45	—	67%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.88	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.17	—	69%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	5.00	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.14	—	85%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.50	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	21.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.19u	−36% ROI