Match Ajax vs FC Volendam January 24, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.88 — +13.2% better than the market.

Ajax to dominate at home

Ajax enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent form and a clear quality edge over FC Volendam. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled recently, suggesting Ajax’s offensive pressure will be key. The home side’s compact block and pressing edge should limit Volendam’s chances, while the pace of the game hints at a controlled tempo favoring Ajax’s tactical setup.

Home momentum with consistent wins
Superior attacking vs weaker away defense
Controlled pace suits Ajax’s style

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.88 ✓ Cashed

AI 60% Implied 53% +0.88u

+88%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AJA 4-3-3 · VOL 4-2-3-1

AJA · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · VOL

11 Godts

📊 Statistics

AJA 2 – 0 VOL

65%

Possession (%)

35%

3.37

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.31

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Ajax beat FC Volendam 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.37 to 0.31. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 31 shots to 5, 14 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 11 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.18 units (Brier 0.108).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.88	—	60%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
BTTS No	2.17	—	50%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.03	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.12	—	39%	Cashed	+2.12	Cashed
Under 1.5	7.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.50	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.31	—	77%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.08	—	93%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.12	—	77%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Under 0.5	23.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	95%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.12	—	82%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.70	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.39	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	10.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.85	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.18u	−25% ROI