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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Sparta Rotterdam — Heracles

Predictions by Market: Sparta Rotterdam vs Heracles

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
Home · last 5 L L D L L
Kick-off
Sun 11 Jan · 15:45
2:0
Full-time
Heracles
Heracles
L L L L L Away · last 5
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel · Rotterdam Referee Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SPA
44%
Best 1.79
Draw
24%
Best 3.71
Away Win · HER
32%
Best 4.30
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.48
Fair odds
2.19
book 2.48 · +13.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 46% · EV +13.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (54%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.2%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 31.9%
Odds 4.15
Show model details
Implied probability 24.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.9%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 30.7%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 24.7%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.1%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.7%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 31.9%
Odds 3.13
Show model details
Implied probability 32%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44.2%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 55.8%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
SPA – HER @ 2.48
+13.3%
Edge
Forecast →