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Home › England › Premier League › Sunderland — Brighton

Predictions by Market: Sunderland vs Brighton

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Sunderland
Sunderland
Home · last 5 L D D W W
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 15:00
0:1
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
W L W L L Away · last 5
Stadium of Light · Sunderland Referee Thomas Kirk, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SUN
21%
Best 3.61
Draw
27%
Best 3.38
Away Win · BRI
52%
Best 2.15
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.47
Fair odds
3.22
book 3.47 · +7.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +7.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (69%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 52.1%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.47
Show model details
Implied probability 28.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 21.4%
Odds 3.47
Show model details
Implied probability 28.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 42.7%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.1%
Odds 3.47
Show model details
Implied probability 28.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.3%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.3%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.7%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.7%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 51.7%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.4%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 52.1%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 21.4%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 47.9%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
SUN – BRI @ 3.47
+7.8%
Edge
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