Match NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht February 11, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

NEC Nijmegen enters this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong recent run and a notable quality edge over Utrecht. Their offensive prowess is likely to challenge Utrecht's defense, which has shown vulnerabilities. The home side's compact block and pressing edge could exploit Utrecht's inconsistent form and defensive lapses.

NEC's attacking threat vs Utrecht's shaky defense
Home momentum with recent wins
Utrecht's struggle to maintain form and defensive solidity

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NIJ 3-4-2-1 · UTR 4-3-3

NIJ · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · UTR

30 Linssen

📊 Statistics

NIJ 1 – 3 UTR

76%

Possession (%)

24%

1.99

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.69

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

56%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Utrecht won 3–1 away at NEC Nijmegen. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 76% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 11, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.76 units (Brier 0.238).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.07	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.66	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.25	—	44%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.70	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.67	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.85	—	45%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.60	—	22%	Cashed	+1.60	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.35	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.50	—	65%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.47	—	62%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.55	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	96%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.17	—	84%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.00	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.05	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	19.50	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.36	—	22%	Cashed	+2.36	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.76u	−10% ROI