GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.70 — +7.5% better than the market.

GO Ahead Eagles hold a slight quality edge at home, supported by a moderate home advantage that could help offset their recent poor form. Their offense faces a tough Groningen defense, but the visitors’ attacking threat is somewhat blunted by GO Ahead’s compact defensive setup. Expect a balanced game with a modest tempo, where set-pieces and moments of pressing intensity might decide the outcome.

Home momentum is shaky but venue advantage is notable
Groningen’s defense challenges home attack
Moderate pace suggests tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.70 ✓ Cashed

AI 63% Implied 59% +0.70u

+70%

ROI on stake

Lineups

EAG 4-2-3-1 · GRO 4-2-3-1

EAG · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · GRO

9 Smit

Statistics

EAG 1 – 1 GRO

47%

Possession (%)

53%

1.06

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.13

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

GO Ahead Eagles and Groningen drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 8, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 1.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.75 units (Brier 0.160).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.70	—	63%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.75	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.41	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	60%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.44	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.16	—	43%	Cashed	+1.16	Cashed
Away Win	2.22	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.35	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.88	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.46	—	65%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.36	—	62%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	79%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.65	—	25%	Cashed	+2.65	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.40	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.58	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.20	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.75u	−16% ROI

GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled