Match Groningen vs FC Volendam December 13, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.60 — +8.9% better than the market.

Groningen arrives with a clear quality and home edge, showing stronger form and a solid defensive setup that could frustrate FC Volendam. The hosts' pressing and compact block at Euroborg should limit Volendam’s attacking chances, especially given their recent struggles. Expect a controlled tempo with moderate goal potential, as both sides have shown signs of cautious play recently.

Home momentum and defensive solidity
Volendam’s offensive challenges against Groningen’s defense
Moderate pace suggested by goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.60 ✓ Cashed

AI 68% Implied 63% +0.60u

+60%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GRO 4-2-3-1 · VOL 4-2-3-1

GRO · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · VOL

9 Willumsson

📊 Statistics

GRO 3 – 0 VOL

68%

Possession (%)

32%

2.67

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.22

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

69%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Groningen beat FC Volendam 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.67 to 0.22. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 4, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 18 to 1.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.74 units (Brier 0.093).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.60	—	68%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.50	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.08	—	51%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.79	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.60	—	53%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.47	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.47	—	70%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.50	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.13	—	90%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.84	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.14	—	70%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.95	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	77%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Away Win	7.10	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.75	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.74u	−34% ROI