Match Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven December 6, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 1.86 — +11.3% better than the market.

PSV Eindhoven arrives at Abe Lenstra Stadion with a clear quality edge and a potent attack that outmatches Heerenveen's defense. Despite Heerenveen's recent home momentum, PSV's pressing and tactical discipline suggest they can control the game tempo and create chances. The home side's solid form is a factor, but the away team's offensive firepower and overall strength likely tilt the balance.

PSV's superior quality and offensive threat
Heerenveen's home form and resilience
Potential for an open, high-scoring match given attacking profiles

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 1.86 ✗ Lost

AI 60% Implied 54% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HEE 4-2-3-1 · PSV 4-3-3

HEE · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · PSV

9 Vente

📊 Statistics

HEE 0 – 2 PSV

38%

Possession (%)

62%

0.81

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.77

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	1.86	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.60	—	66%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.45	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	2.04	—	40%	Cashed	+1.04	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.44	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.23	—	86%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.34	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.30	—	66%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
BTTS No	3.00	—	27%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.11	—	91%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	97%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	5.01	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.50	—	22%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	8.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	5.04	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	26.00	—	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.76	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.20u	−13% ROI