Match Groningen vs PEC Zwolle November 23, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Groningen holds a clear quality edge over PEC Zwolle, boosted by a solid home momentum despite recent mixed results. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Zwolle's struggles at the back, suggesting Groningen can control the pace and limit chances. Expect a tactical battle where Groningen's pressing and set-piece threat could be decisive.

Home defensive resilience vs away offensive challenges
Groningen's better recent form and home comfort
Moderate pace hint favors structured play over frantic attacks

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

GRO 4-2-3-1 · ZWO 4-3-3

GRO · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · ZWO

26 Bergen

📊 Statistics

GRO 2 – 2 ZWO

64%

Possession (%)

36%

2.50

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.90

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Groningen and PEC Zwolle drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.50 to 0.90. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 38 shots to 5, 13 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 13 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 11 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.34 units (Brier 0.235).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.61	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.15	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.02	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.87	—	51%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.76	—	52%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.45	—	34%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.47	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.15	—	88%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.88	—	30%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.21	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.35	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	14.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	76%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Draw	4.25	—	22%	Cashed	+3.25	Cashed
Away Win	6.10	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.61	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.34u	−2% ROI