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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Heracles — GO Ahead Eagles

Match Heracles vs GO Ahead Eagles November 22, 2025 — Result and Stats

Heracles
Heracles
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 22 Nov · 20:00
4:2
Full-time
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
D D D L L Away · last 5
Referee Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 47% · book 2.57
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 39% · book 2.71
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.45
Total goals
6
4 · 2
xG (open play)
2.63 – 0.90
Δ +1.73
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

GO Ahead Eagles enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger defensive record, suggesting they can control the game despite playing away. Heracles' home momentum is limited by inconsistent recent form and a defensive setup that may struggle against the visitors' sharper attack. The match hints at a moderate tempo with a decent chance for goals given both sides' offensive capabilities.

  • Visitors' defensive solidity vs home attack
  • Recent form favors away side
  • Balanced pace with goal-scoring potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

HER 42 EAG
46%
Possession (%)
54%
2.63
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.90
22
Total Shots
6
12
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
0
16
Shots Inside Box
3
6
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
15
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
1
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
8

Match recap

Heracles beat GO Ahead Eagles 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–2.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.63 to 0.90. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 6, 12 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.85 units (Brier 0.222).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.57 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.71 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.45 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.62 58% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.50 37% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.88 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.70 29% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.03 29% Cashed +1.03 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.52 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.58 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.50 61% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.56 53% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.30 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 81% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.80 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.85u −17% ROI