Match Groningen vs Twente November 2, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.90 — +7.6% better than the market.

Twente arrives at Euroborg with a clear quality edge and a sharper attack, likely to challenge Groningen's solid but less potent defense. Groningen's recent home form shows resilience, but Twente's momentum and offensive firepower suggest they can exploit defensive gaps. Expect a lively pace given the balanced over/under odds, favoring an open game with chances at both ends.

Twente's attacking threat vs Groningen's defense
Home side's recent mixed form but strong defensive effort
Potential for goals given tactical openness and pace

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.90 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

GRO 1 – 1 TWE

54%

Possession (%)

46%

3.18

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.32

18

Total Shots

10

7

Shots on Target

4

8

Shots off Target

3

14

Shots Inside Box

8

7

Corner Kicks

3

2

Offsides

1

7

Fouls

12

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

2

Yellow Cards

4

3

Goalkeeper Saves

5

Match recap

Groningen and Twente drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.18 to 1.32. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.97 units (Brier 0.163).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.50	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.90	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	58%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
BTTS No	2.20	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.83	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.02	—	43%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.08	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.44	—	74%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.57	—	52%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Home Win	2.90	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	—	79%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	94%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.55	—	26%	Cashed	+2.55	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.39	—	65%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.10	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.97u	−17% ROI