Match Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard October 19, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming match between Excelsior and Fortuna Sittard, the odds suggest a competitive encounter. Fortuna Sittard appears to have a slight edge with a 40.2% estimated probability of winning, despite the odds of 3.1. The 'Under 2.5 Goals' market is also appealing, with a 52.03% estimated probability and odds of 2.15. The 'Double Chance X2' market offers a safer option with a 64.93% estimated probability and odds of 1.67. Overall, expect a closely contested match with potential for limited goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

EXC 4-2-3-1 · SIT 4-2-3-1

EXC · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · SIT

9 Włodarczyk

📊 Statistics

EXC 1 – 0 SIT

50%

Possession (%)

50%

1.08

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.07

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	3.10	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.67	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.15	—	52%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
BTTS No	2.38	—	47%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.45	—	73%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.40	—	27%	Cashed	+3.40	Cashed
Home Win	2.30	—	35%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.63	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 0.5	14.20	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.25	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.75	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.88	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.39	—	60%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.68	—	35%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.25	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.20u	−1% ROI