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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Netherlands Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar — Telstar

Match AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar October 5, 2025

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Home · last 5 W D D D D
Kick-off
Sun 05 Oct · 14:45
2:1
Full-time
Telstar
Telstar
L W D W W Away · last 5
AFAS Stadion · Alkmaar Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.16
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 56% · book 1.92
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 34% · book 3.10
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
3.76 – 0.70
Δ +3.06
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
2 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AZ vs Telstar — betting preview

AZ carry a clear home edge at AFAS: deeper attacking patterns, better control between the lines and stronger game management. Telstar’s best route is transitional moments and set pieces, but sustained pressure away looks unlikely. If AZ score first, the match can open up; a longer stalemate keeps unders and BTTS No in play.

Pricing leans to an AZ-led game state. Most attractive angles are conservative unders around the 3.5 line and fades of a Telstar goal at current numbers.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

ALK 21 STO
59%
Possession (%)
41%
3.76
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.70
27
Total Shots
14
10
Shots on Target
5
8
Shots off Target
5
21
Shots Inside Box
8
6
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
13
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
3
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 2 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.16 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.92 56% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.10 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 10.00 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 6.46 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.78 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.30 74% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 2 W · 5 L −3.78u −54% ROI