Match Leeds vs Sunderland March 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Leeds hold a clear quality edge and home momentum at Elland Road, backed by a more potent attack against Sunderland's leaky defense. Their recent form shows signs of resilience, while Sunderland struggles for consistency on the road. Expect Leeds to leverage their pressing edge and compact block to control the game tempo.

Home side's offensive pressure meets away defensive frailties
Leeds' better recent form suggests growing confidence
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over wild open spaces

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

LEE 4-5-1 · SUN 4-2-3-1

LEE · 4-5-1 4-2-3-1 · SUN

9 Calvert-Lewin

Subs used · LEE

62'

Nmecha ↑ ·

Gruev ↓

74'

James ↑ ·

Justin ↓

74'

Gnonto ↑ ·

Aaronson ↓

84'

Bijol ↑ ·

Gudmundsson ↓

84'

Piroe ↑ ·

Bogle ↓

Subs used · SUN

55'

Isidor ↑ ·

Mayenda ↓

56'

Xhaka ↑ ·

Geertruida ↓

88'

Traore ↑ ·

Angulo ↓

90+5'

Rigg ↑

📊 Statistics

LEE 0 – 1 SUN

70%

Possession (%)

30%

1.08

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.86

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

61%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 0 – 1

45+2'

▮

Luke O'Nien

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

55'

⇄

W. Isidor ↓ · E. Mayenda ↑

Substitution 1

56'

⇄

G. Xhaka ↓ · L. Geertruida ↑

Substitution 2

58'

▮

Habib Diarra

Yellow Card

L. Nmecha ↓ · I. Gruev ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

63'

▮

Omar Alderete

Yellow Card

70'

⚽

H. Diarra (P)

Penalty · 0–1

D. James ↓ · J. Justin ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

74'

W. Gnonto ↓ · B. Aaronson ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

J. Bijol ↓ · G. Gudmundsson ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

84'

J. Piroe ↓ · J. Bogle ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

84'

88'

⇄

B. Traore ↓ · N. Angulo ↑

Substitution 3

Wilfried Gnonto

Yellow Card

▮

90'

90+5'

⇄

C. Rigg ↓ ·

Substitution 4

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Sunderland won 1–0 away at Leeds. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 3, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: H. Diarra (70').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.63 units (Brier 0.293).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.99	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.92	—	54%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.81	—	57%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.15	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.95	—	42%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.27	—	83%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.44	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.40	—	31%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.29	—	77%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	90%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.38	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.67	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.85	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.98	—	17%	Cashed	+1.98	Cashed
Away Win	4.20	—	17%	Cashed	+3.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.63u	+10% ROI