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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Santa Clara — Nacional

Predictions Santa Clara vs Nacional May 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Mon 11 May · 19:15
2:0
Full-time
Nacional
Nacional
W W L L W Away · last 5
Estádio de São Miguel · Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores Referee H. Carvalho
Home Win · SAN
35%
Best 2.50
Draw
28%
Best 3.10
Away Win · NAC
38%
Best 3.24
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.70
Fair odds
1.53
book 1.70 · +10.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 65% · EV +10.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 34.8%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 37.5%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 60.1%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 39.9%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 33.9%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 11.4%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 79.7%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.6%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 66.1%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 20.3%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 54%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 46%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 37.5%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 34.8%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.