P
Prognosist
P
Home Portugal Primeira Liga Rio Ave — Sporting CP

Predictions Rio Ave vs Sporting CP May 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Mon 11 May · 19:15
1:4
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
D D W W W Away · last 5
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Vila do Conde Referee J. Goncalves
Home Win · RIO
6%
Best 15.50
Draw
16%
Best 8.25
Away Win · SPO
78%
Best 1.20
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 4.46
Fair odds
4.46
book 4.46 · +0.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 22% · EV +0.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance X2 is more likely (94%), but Double Chance 1X is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 16.1%
Odds 7.27
Show model details
Implied probability 13.8%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win Top pick
Probability 77.6%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 6.3%
Odds 12.30
Show model details
Implied probability 8.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 54%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 46%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 33.2%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 85.5%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 14.5%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 77.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 6.3%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 93.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 22.4%
Odds 4.46
Show model details
Implied probability 22.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
RIO – SPO @ 4.46
+0.1%
Edge
Forecast →