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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Sporting CP — Guimaraes

Predictions Sporting CP vs Guimaraes May 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Mon 04 May · 19:15
5:1
Full-time
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
W W L L L Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon Referee A. Nobre
Home Win · SPO
76%
Best 1.33
Draw
17%
Best 6.25
Away Win · GUI
7%
Best 9.95
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 1.91
Fair odds
1.83
book 1.91 · +4.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 55% · EV +4.2%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 17.1%
Odds 6.26
Show model details
Implied probability 16%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 6.6%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 45.7%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 33.7%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.7%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 85.1%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 14.9%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.3%
Odds 17.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 45.4%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 6.6%
Odds 7.30
Show model details
Implied probability 13.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.4%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.86
Show model details
Implied probability 25.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.