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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Sporting CP — Guimaraes

Match Sporting CP vs Guimaraes May 4, 2026

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Mon 04 May · 19:15
5:1
Full-time
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
W W L L L Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon Referee A. Nobre
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 1.91
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 46% · book 2.26
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 54% · book 1.70
Total goals
6
5 · 1
xG (open play)
4.22 – 0.52
Δ +3.70
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Sporting CP holds a clear quality edge over Guimaraes, boosted by a solid home momentum and a compact defensive block that challenges Guimaraes' moderate attack. Despite Guimaraes' recent wins, Sporting's home advantage and superior offensive firepower suggest they will control the pace and create more chances. The match hints at a moderately open game with both sides likely to find the net, supported by Sporting's pressing edge and Guimaraes' resilience.

  • Strong home form and defensive solidity for Sporting
  • Guimaraes' recent positive run adds competitive tension
  • Moderate tempo expected with goal-scoring opportunities for both

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

SPO 4-2-3-1 · GUI 4-2-3-1
Subs used · SPO
46' Guilherme ↑ · Morita
70' Santos ↑ · Catamo
78' Kochorashvili ↑ · Pote
78' Quenda ↑ · Trincao
82' Diomande ↑ · Inacio
Subs used · GUI
46' Nogueira ↑ · Sousa
62' Ndoye ↑ · Gustavo
62' Camara ↑ · Nogueira
79' Arcanjo ↑ · Saviolo
85' Blanco ↑ · Samu

📊 Statistics

SPO 51 GUI
51%
Possession (%)
49%
4.22
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.52
14
Total Shots
13
10
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
5
10
Shots Inside Box
5
1
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
13
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
0
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

19 · 5 – 1
7'
D. Sousa
Yellow Card
G. Inacio
Assist · L. Suarez · 1–0
9'
D. Braganca
Assist · H. Morita · 2–0
23'
30'
N. Saviolo
Yellow Card
M. Araujo
Assist · Z. Debast · 3–0
45+1'
Half-time · 3 – 0
Luis Guilherme ↓ · H. Morita ↑
Substitution 1
46'
46'
G. Nogueira ↓ · D. Sousa ↑
Substitution 1
60'
Thiago Balieiro
Yellow Card
L. Suarez
Assist · Pote · 4–0
61'
62'
A. Ndoye ↓ · Gustavo ↑
Substitution 2
62'
O. Camara ↓ · M. Nogueira ↑
Substitution 3
N. Santos ↓ · G. Catamo ↑
Substitution 2
70'
Luis Guilherme
Assist · L. Suarez · 5–0
74'
G. Kochorashvili ↓ · Pote ↑
Substitution 3
78'
G. Quenda ↓ · Trincao ↑
Substitution 4
78'
79'
T. Arcanjo ↓ · N. Saviolo ↑
Substitution 4
O. Diomande ↓ · G. Inacio ↑
Substitution 5
82'
85'
Z. Debast
Own goal · 5–1
85'
F. Blanco ↓ · Samu ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 5 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.91 1.82 55% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.26 2.15 46% Cashed +1.26 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.70 1.67 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.63 2.60 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 1.90 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 6.26 5.92 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.06 1.04 93% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.50 1.44 66% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Home Win 1.29 1.25 76% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.04 1.04 76% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 1.02 96% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.14 1.12 85% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.86 3.77 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.00 5.99 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.50 18.87 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 11.00 10.99 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 7.30 7.58 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.78u −34% ROI