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Home Portugal Primeira Liga FC Porto — Alverca

Predictions FC Porto vs Alverca May 2, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 19:30
1:0
Full-time
Alverca
Alverca
L W L D L Away · last 5
Estádio Do Dragão · Porto Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
Home Win · POR
79%
Best 1.19
Draw
16%
Best 7.60
Away Win · ALV
5%
Best 17.00
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.22
Fair odds
2.15
book 2.22 · +3.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 46% · EV +3.2%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 15.7%
Odds 7.48
Show model details
Implied probability 13.4%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 5.4%
Odds 16.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 40.8%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 19.6%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.7%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.5%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 5.4%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 21.1%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.6%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.