P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga FC Porto — Alverca
FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 19:30
1:0
Full-time
Alverca
Alverca
L W L D L Away · last 5
Estádio Do Dragão · Porto Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 46% · book 2.22
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.43
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.62
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.62 – 1.50
Δ −0.88
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

FC Porto enters this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, boasting a robust defensive record that could stifle Alverca’s attack. The visitors show signs of resilience but face a tough challenge breaking down Porto’s compact block. Expect a controlled pace with Porto leveraging set-piece threats and home support to press their advantage.

  • Porto’s defensive solidity vs Alverca’s moderate offense
  • Home form slightly stronger, adding confidence
  • Likely tactical control from Porto to limit chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

POR 4-3-3 · ALV 3-4-3
Subs used · POR
46' Varela ↑ · Kiwior
46' Fernandes ↑ · Zaidu
63' Sainz ↑ · Pietuszewski
74' Fofana ↑ · Veiga
86' Mora ↑ · Pepe
Subs used · ALV
78' Gui ↑ · Figueiredo
78' Marezi ↑ · Chiquinho
89' Kassary ↑ · Rhaldney
90' Spencer ↑ · Naves
90' Nuozzi ↑ · Lima

📊 Statistics

POR 10 ALV
57%
Possession (%)
43%
0.62
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.50
12
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
6
2
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
0
21
Fouls
19
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
1
Yellow Cards
4
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

16 · 1 – 0
J. Kiwior
Yellow Card
38'
38'
Chiquinho
Yellow Card
J. Bednarek
Assist · G. Veiga · 1–0
40'
Half-time · 1 – 0
A. Varela ↓ · J. Kiwior ↑
Substitution 1
46'
M. Fernandes ↓ · Zaidu ↑
Substitution 2
46'
52'
Naves
Yellow Card
B. Sainz ↓ · O. Pietuszewski ↑
Substitution 3
63'
74'
Sandro Lima
Yellow Card
S. Fofana ↓ · G. Veiga ↑
Substitution 4
74'
77'
Figueiredo
Yellow Card
78'
D. Gui ↓ · Figueiredo ↑
Substitution 1
78'
Marezi ↓ · Chiquinho ↑
Substitution 2
R. Mora ↓ · Pepe ↑
Substitution 5
86'
89'
Z. Kassary ↓ · Rhaldney ↑
Substitution 3
90'
D. Spencer ↓ · Naves ↑
Substitution 4
90'
C. Nuozzi ↓ · Sandro Lima ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.22 2.31 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.43 2.41 41% Cashed +1.43 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.62 1.53 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.40 2.38 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.65 1.57 54% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Draw 7.48 6.99 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 5.00 4.90 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.04 1.02 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.57 1.57 62% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Home Win 1.20 1.18 79% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.02 1.04 79% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.00 5.00 20% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.02 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.17 1.14 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 16.50 16.95 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 16.00 16.13 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 9.00 10.99 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.06u −12% ROI