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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Alverca — Arouca

Predictions Alverca vs Arouca April 24, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Fri 24 Apr · 19:15
2:1
Full-time
Arouca
Arouca
W L D W W Away · last 5
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca · Alverca do Ribatejo Referee Diogo Rosa, Portugal
Home Win · ALV
34%
Best 2.30
Draw
27%
Best 3.41
Away Win · ARO
39%
Best 3.40
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.12
Fair odds
1.94
book 2.12 · +9.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 51% · EV +9.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 34.1%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 38.9%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 30.5%
Odds 3.61
Show model details
Implied probability 27.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 76.4%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.9%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.1%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23.7%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 51.5%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.5%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38.9%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 34.1%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
ALV – ARO @ 2.12
+9.1%
Edge
Forecast →