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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Casa Pia — Santa Clara

Predictions Casa Pia vs Santa Clara April 18, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L W D D W
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 17:00
0:0
Full-time
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
D W D W L Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee Antonio Nobre, Portugal
Home Win · CAS
24%
Best 3.60
Draw
28%
Best 3.00
Away Win · SAN
48%
Best 2.23
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 2.73
Fair odds
2.47
book 2.73 · +10.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 41% · EV +10.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (60%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 47.8%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.2%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 24.1%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 1.5
Probability 40.5%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 32.9%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 59.5%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 14.2%
Odds 7.56
Show model details
Implied probability 13.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 84.4%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 85.8%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 15.6%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 24.1%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 47.8%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 52.2%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 76%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
CAS – SAN @ 2.73
+10.6%
Edge
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