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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Casa Pia — Santa Clara

Casa Pia vs Santa Clara 0:0: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L W D D W
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 17:00
0:0
Full-time
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
D W D W L Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee Antonio Nobre, Portugal
Hit
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 41% · book 2.73 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 67% · book 1.60 ✓
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 48% · book 2.23 ✗
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
1.27 – 0.19
Δ +1.08
Possession
33% – 67%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 2.73 — +10.6% better than the market.

Casa Pia hosts Santa Clara in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge and better recent form, suggesting a subtle away momentum. Santa Clara’s defensive solidity contrasts with Casa Pia’s moderate offensive threat, hinting at a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. The home side’s defensive resilience and familiar surroundings may keep the game tight, while Santa Clara’s recent winning streak signals confidence on the break.

  • Santa Clara’s form and quality edge favor controlled attacking
  • Casa Pia’s home defense likely to resist pressure
  • Odds and recent trends suggest a cautious, low-scoring affair

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 2.73 ✓ Cashed
AI 41% Implied 37% +1.73u
+173%
ROI on stake

Lineups

CAS 3-4-3 · SAN 4-3-3
CAS · 3-4-3 4-3-3 · SAN 1 Sequeira 4 Goulart 18 Geraldes 43 Sousa 72 Larrazabal 24 Mohamed 8 Brito 75 Rosas 29 Livolant 90 Cassiano 11 Marques 1 Batista 42 Soares 23 Lima 94 Silva 5 Romão 65 Tavares 8 Ferreira 35 Serginho 10 Silva 39 Paciencia 70 Lopes
Subs used · CAS
63' Ofori ↑ · Mohamed ↓
63' Mendes ↑ · Cassiano ↓
72' Livramento ↑ · Marques ↓
73' Perez ↑ · Brito ↓
86' Osundina ↑ · Livolant ↓
Subs used · SAN
67' Calila ↑ · Soares ↓
67' Darlan ↑ · Tavares ↓
74' Brenner ↑ · Lopes ↓
74' Fernando ↑ · Paciencia ↓
85' Torrao ↑ · Silva ↓

Statistics

CAS 0 – 0 SAN
33%
Possession (%)
67%
1.27
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.19
10
Total Shots
5
3
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
3
7
Shots Inside Box
3
4
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
1
20
Fouls
12
62%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
3
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

15 · 0 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
58'
▮
Lucas Soares
Yellow Card
L. Ofori ↓ · I. Mohamed ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
63'
C. Mendes ↓ · Cassiano ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
63'
67'
⇄
Diogo Calila ↓ · Lucas Soares ↑
Substitution 1
67'
⇄
Darlan ↓ · J. Tavares ↑
Substitution 2
D. Livramento ↓ · J. Marques ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
S. Perez ↓ · R. Brito ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
73'
Pedro Rosas
Yellow Card
▮
74'
74'
⇄
Brenner ↓ · Vinicius Lopes ↑
Substitution 3
74'
⇄
Fernando ↓ · G. Paciencia ↑
Substitution 4
85'
⇄
Welinton Torrao ↓ · Gabriel Silva ↑
Substitution 5
K. Osundina ↓ · J. Livolant ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
Claudio Mendes
Yellow Card
▮
88'
90'
▮
Henrique Silva
Yellow Card
Gaizka Larrazabal
Yellow Card
▮
90+6'
Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Casa Pia and Santa Clara drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.27 to 0.19. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 10 shots to 5, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +4.12 units (Brier 0.243).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 1.5 2.73 — 41% Cashed +1.73 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.60 — 67% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Away Win 2.23 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.73 — 60% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.80 — 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.63 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.16 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.68 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.29 — 76% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.53 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.20 — 28% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.49 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 7.56 — 14% Cashed +6.56 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.21 — 84% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Home Win 4.20 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.11 — 86% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 5.00 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +4.12u +24% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
CAS – SAN @ 2.73
+10.6%
Edge
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