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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Moreirense — Estoril

Match Moreirense vs Estoril April 20, 2026 — Result and Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga
Moreirense
Moreirense
Home · last 5 W L W L D
Kick-off
Mon 20 Apr · 19:15
1:0
Full-time
Estoril
Estoril
L L D D L Away · last 5
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas · Moreira de Cónegos Referee Marcio Torres, Portugal
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 50% · book 2.40 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.10 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.92 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.86 – 0.35
Δ +0.51
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Estoril arrives with a clear quality edge and a more potent attack, likely to challenge Moreirense's sturdy but less dynamic defense. Despite Moreirense's home comfort, their recent form shows struggles, while Estoril's slightly better momentum and pressing edge could tip the balance. The match may see a moderate pace, with both sides cautious but probing for set-piece opportunities.

  • Estoril's offensive threat vs Moreirense's defense
  • Home side's recent form dip
  • Balanced tempo hints at tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MOR 4-2-3-1 · EST 4-1-4-1
MOR · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · EST 13 Ferreira 70 Souza 4 Monteiro 66 Batista 2 Travassos 25 Assis 8 Stjepanović 78 Landerson 21 Alonso 10 Bondoso 11 Alan ⚽ 16 Turk 22 Carvalho 4 Ferro 25 Bacher 24 Amaral 5 Tsoungui 70 Peixinho 8 Xeka 6 Orellana 14 Begraoui 21 Pizzi
Subs used · MOR
63' Teguia ↑ · Bondoso ↓
63' Maranhao ↑ · Assis ↓
79' Santos ↑ · Landerson ↓
90' Gower ↑ · Alanzinho ↓
Subs used · EST
46' Carvalho ↑ · Peixinho ↓
53' Guitane ↑ · Jandro ↓
53' Holsgrove ↑ · Pizzi ↓
73' Marques ↑ · Xeka ↓
79' Costa ↑ · Carvalho ↓

📊 Statistics

MOR 1 – 0 EST
43%
Possession (%)
57%
0.86
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.35
11
Total Shots
4
4
Shots on Target
1
5
Shots off Target
2
7
Shots Inside Box
4
5
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
3
14
Fouls
12
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
0
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

12 · 1 – 0
Alanzinho
Assist · A. Assis · 1–0
⚽
12'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⇄
J. Carvalho ↓ · Peixinho ↑
Substitution 1
53'
⇄
R. Guitane ↓ · Jandro ↑
Substitution 2
53'
⇄
J. Holsgrove ↓ · Pizzi ↑
Substitution 3
C. Teguia ↓ · Kiko Bondoso ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
63'
Yan Maranhao ↓ · A. Assis ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
63'
72'
▮
Ferro
Yellow Card
73'
⇄
A. Marques ↓ · Xeka ↑
Substitution 4
L. Santos ↓ · Landerson ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
79'
79'
⇄
G. Costa ↓ · P. Carvalho ↑
Substitution 5
J. Gower ↓ · Alanzinho ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90'
90+3'
▮
Antef Tsoungui
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Moreirense beat Estoril 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 0.86 to 0.35. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 4, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 1.

On the scoresheet: Alanzinho (12').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.10 units (Brier 0.270).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.40 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.10 — 51% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.92 — 55% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.96 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.71 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.73 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.61 — 50% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.24 — 24% Cashed +1.24 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.40 — 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.65 — 30% Cashed +2.65 Cashed
Home Win 3.16 — 24% Cashed +2.16 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 — 75% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 — 91% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.32 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.30 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.10u +1% ROI