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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Moreirense — Estoril

Match Moreirense vs Estoril April 20, 2026

Moreirense
Moreirense
Home · last 5 W L W L D
Kick-off
Mon 20 Apr · 19:15
1:0
Full-time
Estoril
Estoril
L L D D L Away · last 5
Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas · Moreira de Conegos Referee Marcio Torres, Portugal
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 50% · book 2.40
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.10
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.92
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.86 – 0.35
Δ +0.51
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Estoril arrives with a clear quality edge and a more potent attack, likely to challenge Moreirense's sturdy but less dynamic defense. Despite Moreirense's home comfort, their recent form shows struggles, while Estoril's slightly better momentum and pressing edge could tip the balance. The match may see a moderate pace, with both sides cautious but probing for set-piece opportunities.

  • Estoril's offensive threat vs Moreirense's defense
  • Home side's recent form dip
  • Balanced tempo hints at tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MOR 4-2-3-1 · EST 4-1-4-1
Subs used · MOR
63' Teguia ↑ · Bondoso
63' Maranhao ↑ · Assis
79' Santos ↑ · Landerson
90' Gower ↑ · Alanzinho
Subs used · EST
46' Carvalho ↑ · Peixinho
53' Guitane ↑ · Jandro
53' Holsgrove ↑ · Pizzi
73' Marques ↑ · Xeka
79' Costa ↑ · Carvalho

📊 Statistics

MOR 10 EST
43%
Possession (%)
57%
0.86
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.35
11
Total Shots
4
4
Shots on Target
1
5
Shots off Target
2
7
Shots Inside Box
4
5
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
3
14
Fouls
12
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
0
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

12 · 1 – 0
Alanzinho
Assist · A. Assis · 1–0
12'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
J. Carvalho ↓ · Peixinho ↑
Substitution 1
53'
R. Guitane ↓ · Jandro ↑
Substitution 2
53'
J. Holsgrove ↓ · Pizzi ↑
Substitution 3
C. Teguia ↓ · Kiko Bondoso ↑
Substitution 1
63'
Yan Maranhao ↓ · A. Assis ↑
Substitution 2
63'
72'
Ferro
Yellow Card
73'
A. Marques ↓ · Xeka ↑
Substitution 4
L. Santos ↓ · Landerson ↑
Substitution 3
79'
79'
G. Costa ↓ · P. Carvalho ↑
Substitution 5
J. Gower ↓ · Alanzinho ↑
Substitution 4
90'
90+3'
Antef Tsoungui
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.40 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.10 51% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.92 55% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.96 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.71 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.73 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.61 50% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.24 24% Cashed +1.24 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.40 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.65 30% Cashed +2.65 Cashed
Home Win 3.16 24% Cashed +2.16 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 75% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 91% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.32 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.30 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.10u +1% ROI