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Home Portugal Primeira Liga FC Porto — Tondela

Predictions FC Porto vs Tondela April 19, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sun 19 Apr · 19:30
2:0
Full-time
Tondela
Tondela
L D W W L Away · last 5
Estádio Do Dragão · Porto Referee Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira, Portugal
Home Win · POR
82%
Best 1.17
Draw
15%
Best 6.60
Away Win · TON
4%
Best 17.50
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.62
Fair odds
2.35
book 2.62 · +11.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 43% · EV +11.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 14.7%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 81.6%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 3.6%
Odds 20.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 34.7%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 65.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.7%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.3%
Odds 14.10
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 81.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 3.6%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 96.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 18.4%
Odds 5.35
Show model details
Implied probability 18.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.