P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga FC Porto — Tondela
FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sun 19 Apr · 19:30
2:0
Full-time
Tondela
Tondela
L D W W L Away · last 5
Estádio Do Dragão · Porto Referee Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira, Portugal
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 43% · book 2.62
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.26
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.70
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
2.95 – 0.11
Δ +2.84
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

FC Porto enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a clear quality edge over Tondela. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled, suggesting Porto's pressing and set-piece threat could dominate. Meanwhile, Tondela's inconsistent form and defensive vulnerabilities may invite pressure, especially at Estádio Do Dragão.

  • Home side's attacking edge likely to exploit away defensive lapses
  • Porto's recent form signals confidence and control
  • Match tempo hints at a moderately open game with scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

POR 4-3-3 · TON 5-4-1
Subs used · POR
46' Rosario ↑ · Kiwior
46' Veiga ↑ · Mora
62' Silva ↑ · Zaidu
70' Gomes ↑ · Pietuszewski
88' Fofana ↑ · Gul
Subs used · TON
63' Sithole ↑ · Ouattara
63' Aiko ↑ · Hodge
70' Afonso ↑ · Medina
70' van der Heide ↑ · Maranhao
78' Felix ↑ · Lopes

📊 Statistics

POR 20 TON
60%
Possession (%)
40%
2.95
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.11
22
Total Shots
5
8
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
2
15
Shots Inside Box
0
8
Corner Kicks
3
4
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
11
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
4
Yellow Cards
5
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

22 · 2 – 0
Jakub Kiwior
Yellow Card
19'
21'
Maranhão
Yellow Card
Rodrigo Mora
Yellow Card
35'
Half-time · 0 – 0
P. Rosario ↓ · J. Kiwior ↑
Substitution 1
46'
G. Veiga ↓ · R. Mora ↑
Substitution 2
46'
45+3'
Joe Hodge
Yellow Card
G. Veiga
Assist · D. Gul · 1–0
48'
50'
Christian Marques
Yellow Card
Thiago Silva ↓ · Zaidu ↑
Substitution 3
62'
63'
S. Sithole ↓ · M. Ouattara ↑
Substitution 1
63'
M. Aiko ↓ · J. Hodge ↑
Substitution 2
V. Froholdt
2–0
65'
William Gomes ↓ · O. Pietuszewski ↑
Substitution 4
70'
70'
J. Afonso ↓ · B. Medina ↑
Substitution 3
70'
A. van der Heide ↓ · Pedro Maranhao ↑
Substitution 4
78'
H. Felix ↓ · Rony Lopes ↑
Substitution 5
80'
Siphephelo Sithole
Yellow Card
Alberto Costa
Yellow Card
84'
S. Fofana ↓ · D. Gul ↑
Substitution 5
88'
Gabri Veiga
Yellow Card
90'
90'
Hugo Félix
Yellow Card
90+3'
Rodrigo Conceição
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.62 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.26 44% Cashed +1.26 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.70 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.67 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 7.50 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.03 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Home Win 1.20 82% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 65% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
BTTS No 1.49 57% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.03 82% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Double Chance X2 5.35 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 78% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.40 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.10 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 20.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 13.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −6.23u −37% ROI