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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Estrela — Sporting CP

Predictions Estrela vs Sporting CP April 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Estrela
Estrela
Home · last 5 L L L D D
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 19:30
0:1
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
D D W W W Away · last 5
Estádio José Gomes · Amadora Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
Home Win · EST
5%
Best 11.00
Draw
15%
Best 6.30
Away Win · SPO
79%
Best 1.22
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.00
Fair odds
1.78
book 2.00 · +12.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 56% · EV +12.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 15.4%
Odds 7.10
Show model details
Implied probability 14.1%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win Top pick
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 5.3%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 32.2%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 85.8%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 14.2%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.9%
Odds 20.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 56%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality High
BTTS No
Probability 44%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 5.3%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 94.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 20.7%
Odds 4.45
Show model details
Implied probability 22.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
EST – SPO @ 2.00
+12.1%
Edge
Forecast →