Estrela vs Sporting CP 0:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.00 — +12.1% better than the market.

Sporting CP enter this clash with a clear quality edge, boasting a potent attack against Estrela's vulnerable defense. Despite Estrela's slight home momentum, Sporting's recent winning streak and superior offensive firepower suggest they will control the game tempo. The match hints at an open, attacking affair given the favorable odds for goals, with Sporting likely to capitalize on set-piece opportunities and quick transitions.

Sporting's pressing edge and clinical finishing
Estrela's defensive frailties at home
Potential for a high-scoring encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 2.00 ✗ Lost

AI 56% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

EST 4-3-3 · SPO 4-2-3-1

EST · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · SPO

10 Stoica

Subs used · EST

62'

Jovane ↑ ·

Stoica ↓

65'

Meireles ↑ ·

Robinho ↓

76'

Otavio ↑ ·

Langa ↓

77'

van Hooijdonk ↑ ·

Pinho ↓

77'

Encada ↑ ·

Doue ↓

Subs used · SPO

46'

Vagiannidis ↑ ·

Fresneda ↓

67'

Morita ↑ ·

Braganca ↓

67'

Quenda ↑ ·

Pote ↓

90+2'

Diomande ↑ ·

Trincao ↓

90+6'

Nel ↑ ·

Catamo ↓

Statistics

EST 0 – 1 SPO

33%

Possession (%)

67%

0.37

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.67

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 0 – 1

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

G. Vagiannidis ↓ · I. Fresneda ↑

Substitution 1

Kevin Höög Jansson

Yellow Card

▮

45+2'

59'

⚽

D. Braganca

Assist · Trincao · 0–1

Jovane ↓ · I. Stoica ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

J. Meireles ↓ · Robinho ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

65'

67'

⇄

H. Morita ↓ · D. Braganca ↑

Substitution 2

67'

⇄

G. Quenda ↓ · Pote ↑

Substitution 3

Otavio ↓ · B. Langa ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

S. van Hooijdonk ↓ · Rodrigo Pinho ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

77'

J. Encada ↓ · G. Doue ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

77'

87'

▮

Rui Silva

Yellow Card

Jefferson Encada

Yellow Card

▮

88'

Sydney van Hooijdonk

Yellow Card

▮

90'

90+2'

⇄

O. Diomande ↓ · Trincao ↑

Substitution 4

90+6'

⇄

R. Nel ↓ · G. Catamo ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Sporting CP won 1–0 away at Estrela. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 86% of their passes. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 13 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Braganca (59').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.30 units (Brier 0.213).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.18	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.75	—	53%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.75	—	32%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
BTTS No	1.80	—	44%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Draw	7.10	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.06	—	95%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Away Win	1.26	—	79%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.47	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.05	—	79%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.15	—	86%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	4.45	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.00	—	14%	Cashed	+5.00	Cashed
Under 0.5	20.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	14.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	6.80	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.30u	−2% ROI

Estrela vs Sporting CP 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled