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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Estrela — Sporting CP

Match Estrela vs Sporting CP April 11, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Estrela
Estrela
Home · last 5 L L L D D
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 19:30
0:1
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
D D W W W Away · last 5
Estádio José Gomes · Amadora Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 56% · book 2.00 ✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 47% · book 2.18 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 53% · book 1.75 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.37 – 0.67
Δ −0.30
Possession
33% – 67%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.00 — +12.1% better than the market.

Sporting CP enter this clash with a clear quality edge, boasting a potent attack against Estrela's vulnerable defense. Despite Estrela's slight home momentum, Sporting's recent winning streak and superior offensive firepower suggest they will control the game tempo. The match hints at an open, attacking affair given the favorable odds for goals, with Sporting likely to capitalize on set-piece opportunities and quick transitions.

  • Sporting's pressing edge and clinical finishing
  • Estrela's defensive frailties at home
  • Potential for a high-scoring encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 2.00 ✗ Lost
AI 56% Implied 50% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

EST 4-3-3 · SPO 4-2-3-1
EST · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · SPO 40 Ribeiro 21 Scholze 4 Leković 14 Schappo 24 Langa 39 Doué 6 Jansson 8 Botelho 99 Marcus 9 Pinho 10 Stoica 1 Silva 22 Fresneda 72 Quaresma 6 Debast 20 Araújo 42 Hjulmand 23 Bragança ⚽ 10 Catamo 17 Trincão 8 Gonçalves 97 Suárez
Subs used · EST
62' Jovane ↑ · Stoica ↓
65' Meireles ↑ · Robinho ↓
76' Otavio ↑ · Langa ↓
77' van Hooijdonk ↑ · Pinho ↓
77' Encada ↑ · Doue ↓
Subs used · SPO
46' Vagiannidis ↑ · Fresneda ↓
67' Morita ↑ · Braganca ↓
67' Quenda ↑ · Pote ↓
90+2' Diomande ↑ · Trincao ↓
90+6' Nel ↑ · Catamo ↓

📊 Statistics

EST 0 – 1 SPO
33%
Possession (%)
67%
0.37
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.67
9
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
4
5
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
13
1
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
16
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
3
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

15 · 0 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
⇄
G. Vagiannidis ↓ · I. Fresneda ↑
Substitution 1
Kevin Höög Jansson
Yellow Card
▮
45+2'
59'
⚽
D. Braganca
Assist · Trincao · 0–1
Jovane ↓ · I. Stoica ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
62'
J. Meireles ↓ · Robinho ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
67'
⇄
H. Morita ↓ · D. Braganca ↑
Substitution 2
67'
⇄
G. Quenda ↓ · Pote ↑
Substitution 3
Otavio ↓ · B. Langa ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
S. van Hooijdonk ↓ · Rodrigo Pinho ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
77'
J. Encada ↓ · G. Doue ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
77'
87'
▮
Rui Silva
Yellow Card
Jefferson Encada
Yellow Card
▮
88'
Sydney van Hooijdonk
Yellow Card
▮
90'
90+2'
⇄
O. Diomande ↓ · Trincao ↑
Substitution 4
90+6'
⇄
R. Nel ↓ · G. Catamo ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.00 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.18 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.75 — 53% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.75 — 32% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
BTTS No 1.80 — 44% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Draw 7.10 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.06 — 95% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Away Win 1.26 — 79% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.47 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.05 — 79% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 — 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.15 — 86% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 4.45 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.00 — 14% Cashed +5.00 Cashed
Under 0.5 20.00 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 14.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 6.80 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.30u −2% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS Yes
EST – SPO @ 2.00
+12.1%
Edge
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