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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Alverca — Casa Pia

Predictions Alverca vs Casa Pia April 12, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 14:30
3:1
Full-time
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
L W D D W Away · last 5
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca · Alverca do Ribatejo Referee Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe, Portugal
Home Win · ALV
53%
Best 1.91
Draw
27%
Best 3.30
Away Win · CAS
20%
Best 4.25
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 1.90
Fair odds
1.84
book 1.90 · +3.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 54% · EV +3.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 53.2%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.37
Show model details
Implied probability 29.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 20.1%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 40.8%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 33.4%
Odds 3.03
Show model details
Implied probability 33%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 66.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 79.2%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.8%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.2%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 20.8%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.5%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 45.5%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 20.1%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 46.8%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.9%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.