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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Benfica — Nacional

Match Benfica vs Nacional April 12, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W W D D W
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 17:00
2:0
Full-time
Nacional
Nacional
W W L L W Away · last 5
Referee Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 55% · book 1.95
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 50% · book 2.08
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 1.80
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
3.43 – 0.25
Δ +3.18
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.95 — +8.2% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.95 ✓ Cashed
AI 55% Implied 51% +0.95u
+95%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BEN 4-2-3-1 · NAC 4-3-3
Subs used · BEN
77' Ivanovic ↑ · Pavlidis
78' Aursnes ↑ · Silva
78' Lukebakio ↑ · Prestianni
79' Barrenechea ↑ · Rios
90+2' Moreira ↑ · Schjelderup
Subs used · NAC
61' Soares ↑ · Dias
61' Ruan ↑ · Witi
83' Silva ↑ · Labidi
83' Vallier ↑ · Gomes
90+1' Aurelio ↑ · Junior

📊 Statistics

BEN 20 NAC
58%
Possession (%)
42%
3.43
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.25
24
Total Shots
7
8
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots off Target
2
21
Shots Inside Box
2
15
Corner Kicks
1
3
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
18
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
5
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

18 · 2 – 0
A. Schjelderup
Assist · G. Prestianni · 1–0
3'
Rafa Silva
Assist · G. Prestianni · 2–0
14'
Samuel Dahl
Yellow Card
22'
Half-time · 2 – 0
50'
Witi
Yellow Card
56'
Léo Santos
Yellow Card
58'
Matheus Dias
Yellow Card
61'
F. Soares ↓ · Matheus Dias ↑
Substitution 1
61'
Pablo Ruan ↓ · Witi ↑
Substitution 2
F. Ivanovic ↓ · V. Pavlidis ↑
Substitution 1
77'
F. Aursnes ↓ · Rafa Silva ↑
Substitution 2
78'
D. Lukebakio ↓ · G. Prestianni ↑
Substitution 3
78'
E. Barrenechea ↓ · R. Rios ↑
Substitution 4
79'
83'
J. Silva ↓ · C. Labidi ↑
Substitution 3
83'
L. Vallier ↓ · Jose Gomes ↑
Substitution 4
90'
Joel Silva
Yellow Card
90+1'
J. Aurelio ↓ · Daniel Junior ↑
Substitution 5
G. Moreira ↓ · A. Schjelderup ↑
Substitution 5
90+2'
90+4'
Lenny Vallier
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.95 55% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.08 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.80 50% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 3.5 1.96 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 10.10 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.25 34% Cashed +2.25 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.03 97% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Home Win 1.16 84% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.03 84% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 1.5 7.00 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 6.40 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 25.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 96% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.12 85% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.38 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 21.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 12.50 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.64u −27% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
BEN – NAC @ 1.95
+8.2%
Edge
Forecast →