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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Casa Pia — Benfica

Predictions Casa Pia vs Benfica April 6, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L W D D W
Kick-off
Mon 06 Apr · 19:45
1:1
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho, Portugal
Home Win · CAS
5%
Best 12.75
Draw
16%
Best 6.22
Away Win · BEN
79%
Best 1.22
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.66
Fair odds
1.54
book 1.66 · +8.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 65% · EV +8.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 16%
Odds 6.60
Show model details
Implied probability 15.2%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win Top pick
Probability 79.1%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 4.9%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 34.9%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 79.1%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 4.9%
Odds 9.10
Show model details
Implied probability 11%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 95.2%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 20.9%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
CAS – BEN @ 1.66
+8.0%
Edge
Forecast →