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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Arouca — Estoril

Predictions Arouca vs Estoril April 6, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Arouca
Arouca
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Mon 06 Apr · 17:45
3:2
Full-time
Estoril
Estoril
L L D D L Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca Referee Antonio Nobre, Portugal
Home Win · ARO
30%
Best 2.44
Draw
25%
Best 3.50
Away Win · EST
44%
Best 2.70
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.11
Fair odds
1.95
book 2.11 · +8.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 51% · EV +8.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 30.4%
Odds 2.58
Show model details
Implied probability 38.8%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 25.3%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.2%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 26.7%
Odds 4.15
Show model details
Implied probability 24.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 27.7%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.1%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.9%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.3%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 47.1%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.9%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 30.4%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
ARO – EST @ 2.11
+8.1%
Edge
Forecast →