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Home › England › Premier League › Burnley — Brentford

Predictions by Market: Burnley vs Brentford

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Burnley
Burnley
Home · last 5 L L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 15:00
3:4
Full-time
Brentford
Brentford
L W L D D Away · last 5
Turf Moor · Burnley Referee Samuel Barrott, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BUR
15%
Best 4.43
Draw
23%
Best 3.82
Away Win · BRE
62%
Best 1.80
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.53
book 4.00 · +13.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +13.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (72%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 23.2%
Odds 4.04
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 14.7%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 53.8%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46.2%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 28.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.6%
Odds 12.80
Show model details
Implied probability 7.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74.8%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 71.6%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 51.2%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 14.7%
Odds 3.57
Show model details
Implied probability 28%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 38%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 85.3%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
BUR – BRE @ 4.00
+13.4%
Edge
Forecast →