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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Famalicao — Nacional

Match Famalicao vs Nacional March 21, 2026

Famalicao
Famalicao
Home · last 5 D W D D W
Kick-off
Sat 21 Mar · 15:30
1:0
Full-time
Nacional
Nacional
W W L L W Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao · Vila Nova de Famalicao Referee Pedro Ramalho, Portugal
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 63% · book 1.73
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 2.03
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.00
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.74 – 0.43
Δ +1.31
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Famalicao arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a clear quality edge over Nacional. Their defensive solidity combined with a pressing edge could stifle Nacional’s attack, which has struggled on the road. Expect a controlled tempo with Famalicao leveraging their home advantage and sharper form to dictate play.

  • Home side’s defensive resilience vs away’s modest offense
  • Recent form favors Famalicao’s confidence
  • Moderate pace suggested by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

FAM 4-3-3 · NAC 4-3-3
Subs used · FAM
79' Pena ↑ · De Amorim
79' Abubakar ↑ · Elisor
87' Joujou ↑ · Sorriso
89' Realpe ↑ · Sa
Subs used · NAC
77' Witi ↑ · Baeza
77' Soares ↑ · Dias
77' Silva ↑ · Labidi
84' Ruan ↑ · Boia

📊 Statistics

FAM 10 NAC
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.74
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.43
14
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
3
7
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
14
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
4
Yellow Cards
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

15 · 1 – 0
16'
Matheus Dias
Yellow Card
Gustavo Sá
Yellow Card
40'
43'
Lenny Vallier
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
I. Ba
Assist · G. Sa · 1–0
63'
77'
Witi ↓ · M. Baeza ↑
Substitution 1
77'
F. Soares ↓ · Matheus Dias ↑
Substitution 2
77'
J. Silva ↓ · C. Labidi ↑
Substitution 3
Mathias De Amorim
Yellow Card
78'
M. Pena ↓ · M. De Amorim ↑
Substitution 1
79'
U. Abubakar ↓ · S. Elisor ↑
Substitution 2
79'
84'
Pablo Ruan ↓ · Paulinho Boia ↑
Substitution 4
A. Joujou ↓ · Sorriso ↑
Substitution 3
87'
L. Realpe ↓ · G. Sa ↑
Substitution 4
89'
90+1'
Daniel Júnior
Yellow Card
Ibrahima Ba
Yellow Card
90+2'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.73 63% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.03 52% Cashed +1.03 Cashed
BTTS No 2.00 50% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.83 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.86 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.20 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.83 28% Cashed +2.83 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.20 86% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 73% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.05 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.29 63% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.00 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.00 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.70 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.46u −14% ROI