Benfica vs Guimaraes 3:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.08 — +5.3% better than the market.

Benfica enter this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, reflected in their superior form and offensive firepower. Their attacking prowess is likely to challenge Guimaraes’ defense, which has struggled against high-tempo sides. Meanwhile, Guimaraes face an uphill battle, with limited recent form and a defensive setup that may be overwhelmed. Expect Benfica to control the pace and create multiple chances, though Guimaraes could exploit set-piece moments.

Benfica’s home advantage and attacking edge
Guimaraes’ defensive vulnerabilities
Potential for a moderately open game with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 2.08 ✗ Lost

AI 51% Implied 48% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

BEN 4-2-3-1 · GUI 4-2-3-1

BEN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · GUI

14 Pavlidis ⚽

Subs used · BEN

77'

Silva ↑ ·

Schjelderup ↓

77'

Lopes Cabral ↑ ·

Sudakov ↓

82'

Ivanovic ↑ ·

Pavlidis ↓

82'

Lukebakio ↑ ·

Prestianni ↓

85'

Manu ↑ ·

Barreiro ↓

Subs used · GUI

59'

Gustavo ↑ ·

Oliveira ↓

59'

Saviolo ↑ ·

Camara ↓

70'

Arcanjo ↑ ·

Nogueira ↓

70'

Sousa ↑ ·

Nogueira ↓

Statistics

BEN 3 – 0 GUI

49%

Possession (%)

51%

2.02

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.77

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

13 · 3 – 0

G. Prestianni

Assist · R. Rios · 1–0

⚽

14'

Half-time · 1 – 0

V. Pavlidis

Assist · R. Rios · 2–0

⚽

55'

59'

⇄

Gustavo ↓ · N. Oliveira ↑

Substitution 1

59'

⇄

N. Saviolo ↓ · O. Camara ↑

Substitution 2

69'

▮

Gustavo Silva

Yellow Card

70'

⇄

T. Arcanjo ↓ · G. Nogueira ↑

Substitution 3

70'

⇄

D. Sousa ↓ · M. Nogueira ↑

Substitution 4

Beni

Own goal · 3–0

⚽

74'

Rafa Silva ↓ · A. Schjelderup ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

77'

S. Lopes Cabral ↓ · G. Sudakov ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

77'

F. Ivanovic ↓ · V. Pavlidis ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

82'

D. Lukebakio ↓ · G. Prestianni ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

Manu ↓ · L. Barreiro ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Benfica beat Guimaraes 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.02 to 0.77. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 12, 2 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 4.

On the scoresheet: G. Prestianni (14'), V. Pavlidis (55'), Beni (74').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.30 units (Brier 0.084).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.08	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.65	—	60%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.55	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.36	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.78	—	49%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Home Win	1.34	—	76%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.07	—	94%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.55	—	61%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.07	—	76%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	5.94	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	81%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.76	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.60	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	16.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	11.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.90	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.30u	−37% ROI

Benfica vs Guimaraes 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled