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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Arouca — Benfica

Predictions Arouca vs Benfica March 14, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Arouca
Arouca
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 20:30
1:2
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca Referee Jose Bessa, Portugal
Home Win · ARO
6%
Best 9.60
Draw
17%
Best 5.65
Away Win · BEN
77%
Best 1.29
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.36
Fair odds
2.27
book 2.36 · +3.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 44% · EV +3.9%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 17.1%
Odds 6.01
Show model details
Implied probability 16.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 5.8%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 44%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 56%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 34.3%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 22.1%
Odds 4.52
Show model details
Implied probability 22.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.7%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.4%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.4%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 5.8%
Odds 8.10
Show model details
Implied probability 12.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 94.2%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 22.9%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.