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Home Portugal Primeira Liga FC Porto — Moreirense

Predictions FC Porto vs Moreirense March 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 20:30
3:0
Full-time
Moreirense
Moreirense
W L W L D Away · last 5
Estádio Do Dragão · Porto Referee Carlos Macedo, Portugal
Home Win · POR
82%
Best 1.20
Draw
15%
Best 6.15
Away Win · MOR
4%
Best 14.25
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.82
Fair odds
1.81
book 1.82 · +0.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 55% · EV +0.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 14.9%
Odds 7.39
Show model details
Implied probability 13.5%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 81.7%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 3.5%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 33.5%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78.2%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.6%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.8%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.4%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 43%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 81.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 3.5%
Odds 13.50
Show model details
Implied probability 7.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 96.5%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 18.4%
Odds 5.30
Show model details
Implied probability 18.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.