P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🎫 Bookmakers 🏆 Tournament
Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › FC Porto — Moreirense

FC Porto vs Moreirense 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 20:30
3:0
Full-time
Moreirense
Moreirense
W L W L D Away · last 5
Estádio do Dragão · Porto Referee Carlos Macedo, Portugal
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.82 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.10 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 43% · book 2.95 ✗
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.13 – 0.14
Δ +1.99
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 7.39 — +10.0% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 7.39 ✗ Lost
AI 15% Implied 14% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

POR 4-3-3 · MOR 4-2-3-1
POR · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · MOR 99 Costa 52 Fernandes 5 Bednarek 4 Kiwior 12 Sanusi 8 Froholdt 22 Varela 10 Veiga ⚽ 11 Pepê 27 Gül 77 Pietuszewski ⚽ 13 Ferreira 2 Travassos 66 Batista 26 Maracás 27 Kiko 8 Stjepanović 25 Assis 10 Bondoso 21 Alonso 78 Landerson 11 Alan
Subs used · POR
56' Moffi ↑ · Gul ↓
56' Sainz ↑ · Pietuszewski ↓
66' Rosario ↑ · Zaidu ↓
66' Mora ↑ · Veiga ↓
72' Gomes ↑ · Pepê ↓
Subs used · MOR
66' Gower ↑ · Assis ↓
73' John ↑ · Landerson ↓
87' Monteiro ↑ · Bondoso ↓
87' A. Silva ↑ · Rodri ↓

Statistics

POR 3 – 0 MOR
57%
Possession (%)
43%
2.13
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.14
17
Total Shots
3
9
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
1
10
Shots Inside Box
1
4
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
15
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

14 · 3 – 0
G. Veiga
1–0
⚽
14'
O. Pietuszewski
Assist · V. Froholdt · 2–0
⚽
25'
Half-time · 2 – 0
T. Moffi ↓ · D. Gul ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
56'
B. Sainz ↓ · O. Pietuszewski ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
56'
Zaidu Sanusi
Yellow Card
▮
58'
P. Rosario ↓ · Zaidu ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
66'
R. Mora ↓ · G. Veiga ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
66'
66'
⇄
J. Gower ↓ · A. Assis ↑
Substitution 1
William Gomes ↓ · Pepê ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
72'
73'
⇄
N. John ↓ · Landerson ↑
Substitution 2
William Gomes
Assist · V. Froholdt · 3–0
⚽
81'
87'
⇄
Kevyn Monteiro ↓ · Kiko Bondoso ↑
Substitution 3
87'
⇄
M. A. Silva ↓ · Rodri ↑
Substitution 4
90+4'
▮
Miguel Silva
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

FC Porto beat Moreirense 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.13 to 0.14. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 3, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: G. Veiga (14'), O. Pietuszewski (25'), William Gomes (81').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.68 units (Brier 0.072).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.82 — 55% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.10 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.95 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 7.39 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.00 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.03 — 97% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Home Win 1.20 — 82% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.42 — 67% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
BTTS No 1.50 — 57% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.03 — 82% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.27 — 78% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 — 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Double Chance X2 5.30 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.20 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 21.00 — 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 13.50 — 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.68u −39% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
POR – MOR @ 7.39
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →