P
Prognosist
P
Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Famalicao — Arouca

Predictions by Market: Famalicao vs Arouca

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Famalicao
Famalicao
Home · last 5 D W D D W
Kick-off
Fri 06 Mar · 20:15
1:0
Full-time
Arouca
Arouca
W L D W W Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho · Vila Nova de Famalicao Referee Antonio Nobre, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FAM
60%
Best 1.67
Draw
24%
Best 3.73
Away Win · ARO
16%
Best 5.05
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.65
Fair odds
3.27
book 3.65 · +11.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +11.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (69%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 59.9%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 15.8%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.6%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.7%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.7%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.3%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.3%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 54%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 59.9%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 15.8%
Odds 3.36
Show model details
Implied probability 29.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 40.1%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 84.2%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
FAM – ARO @ 3.65
+11.7%
Edge
Forecast →