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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Famalicao — Arouca

Match Famalicao vs Arouca March 6, 2026

Famalicao
Famalicao
Home · last 5 D W D D W
Kick-off
Fri 06 Mar · 20:15
1:0
Full-time
Arouca
Arouca
W L D W W Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao · Vila Nova de Famalicao Referee Antonio Nobre, Portugal
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 60% · book 1.85
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.92
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.98
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.02 – 0.81
Δ +0.21
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Famalicao arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall quality and a notable edge in defensive solidity. Their recent form shows resilience, while Arouca’s attack faces a tough test against a compact home defense. The pace is likely moderate, with a balanced goal environment suggested by odds. Expect a tactical battle where Famalicao’s home comfort and defensive discipline could limit Arouca’s chances.

  • Home defensive strength vs away attack
  • Recent form favors Famalicao
  • Moderate tempo with controlled chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

FAM 4-2-3-1 · ARO 4-2-3-1
Subs used · FAM
66' Santos ↑ · Pena
66' Beney ↑ · Dias
66' Abubakar ↑ · Elisor
89' Realpe ↑ · Joujou
Subs used · ARO
61' Nandin ↑ · Barbero
75' Gozalbez ↑ · Trezza
83' Puche ↑ · Lee
83' Dante ↑ · Kuipers
83' Silva ↑ · Monteiro

📊 Statistics

FAM 10 ARO
55%
Possession (%)
45%
1.02
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.81
13
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
6
5
Corner Kicks
1
5
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
16
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

12 · 1 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
51'
Ivan Barbero
Yellow Card
61'
D. Nandin ↓ · I. Barbero ↑
Substitution 1
P. Santos ↓ · M. Pena ↑
Substitution 1
66'
R. Beney ↓ · Gil Dias ↑
Substitution 2
66'
U. Abubakar ↓ · S. Elisor ↑
Substitution 3
66'
75'
P. Gozalbez ↓ · A. Trezza ↑
Substitution 2
R. Pinheiro
1–0
82'
83'
Puche ↓ · H. Lee ↑
Substitution 3
83'
A. Dante ↓ · B. Kuipers ↑
Substitution 4
83'
J. Silva ↓ · D. Monteiro ↑
Substitution 5
Mathias De Amorim
Yellow Card
84'
L. Realpe ↓ · A. Joujou ↑
Substitution 4
89'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.85 60% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.92 56% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
BTTS No 1.98 54% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.00 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.87 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.06 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.65 31% Cashed +2.65 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.23 84% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.35 60% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.34 77% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 90% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.32 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.75 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.45 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.60 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.36 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.61u −15% ROI