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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Moreirense — Nacional

Predictions Moreirense vs Nacional March 7, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Moreirense
Moreirense
Home · last 5 W L W L D
Kick-off
Sat 07 Mar · 15:30
1:1
Full-time
Nacional
Nacional
W W L L W Away · last 5
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas · Moreira de Cónegos Referee Marcio Torres, Portugal
Home Win · MOR
50%
Best 2.38
Draw
27%
Best 3.10
Away Win · NAC
23%
Best 3.10
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 1.98
Fair odds
1.83
book 1.98 · +8.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 55% · EV +8.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 49.7%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 23%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 34.6%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 79.7%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.9%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.1%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 65.4%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 20.3%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 45.4%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 23%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MOR – NAC @ 1.98
+8.0%
Edge
Forecast →