Fulham vs Tottenham 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.18 — +13.2% better than the market.

Fulham arrives with a slight quality edge and better recent form, showing signs of home momentum at Craven Cottage. Their offensive edge against Tottenham's defense suggests potential to unlock chances, while Tottenham's defensive solidity could keep the game tight. Expect a balanced pace with moderate goal opportunities given the odds hinting at a controlled tempo.

Fulham's home advantage and sharper recent results
Tottenham's compact defensive setup
Moderate attacking threat from both sides

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.18 ✗ Lost

AI 52% Implied 46% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

FUL 4-2-3-1 · TOT 4-4-2

FUL · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · TOT

7 Jiménez

Subs used · FUL

72'

Cairney ↑ ·

Smith Rowe ↓

72'

Chukwueze ↑ ·

Wilson ↓

73'

Muniz ↑ ·

Jimenez ↓

74'

King ↑ ·

Bobb ↓

90'

Cuenca ↑ ·

Iwobi ↓

Subs used · TOT

58'

Richarlison ↑ ·

Simons ↓

58'

Tel ↑ ·

Kolo Muani ↓

58'

M. Sarr ↑ ·

Gallagher ↓

80'

Souza ↑ ·

Bissouma ↓

90'

Danso ↑ ·

Dragusin ↓

Statistics

FUL 2 – 1 TOT

54%

Possession (%)

46%

2.14

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.88

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

19 · 2 – 1

H. Wilson

1–0

⚽

A. Iwobi

Assist · H. Wilson · 2–0

⚽

34'

Half-time · 2 – 0

58'

⇄

Richarlison ↓ · X. Simons ↑

Substitution 1

58'

⇄

M. Tel ↓ · R. Kolo Muani ↑

Substitution 2

58'

⇄

P. M. Sarr ↓ · C. Gallagher ↑

Substitution 3

Issa Diop

Yellow Card

▮

61'

64'

▮

Micky van de Ven

Yellow Card

Calvin Bassey

Yellow Card

▮

66'

▮

Richarlison

Yellow Card

66'

⚽

Richarlison

Assist · A. Gray · 2–1

T. Cairney ↓ · E. Smith Rowe ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

72'

S. Chukwueze ↓ · H. Wilson ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

72'

Rodrigo Muniz ↓ · R. Jimenez ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

J. King ↓ · O. Bobb ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

74'

80'

⇄

Souza ↓ · Y. Bissouma ↑

Substitution 4

J. Cuenca ↓ · A. Iwobi ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90'

⇄

K. Danso ↓ · R. Dragusin ↑

Substitution 5

Tom Cairney

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

90+5'

▮

Pedro Porro

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Fulham beat Tottenham 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.14 to 0.88. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 13, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: H. Wilson (7'), A. Iwobi (34'), Richarlison (66').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.65 units (Brier 0.126).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.19	—	53%	Cashed	+1.19	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.18	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.37	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.85	—	48%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	53%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.77	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.54	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.47	—	72%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.40	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.35	—	78%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.57	—	53%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.89	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.50	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.25	—	73%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Away Win	3.50	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.65u	−27% ROI

Fulham vs Tottenham 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled