P
Prognosist
P
Home Portugal Primeira Liga SC Braga — Guimaraes

Predictions SC Braga vs Guimaraes February 21, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
SC Braga
SC Braga
Home · last 5 W L D D D
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 20:30
3:2
Full-time
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
W W L L L Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Braga · Braga Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Home Win · BRA
66%
Best 1.50
Draw
22%
Best 4.10
Away Win · GUI
12%
Best 6.38
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
2.96
book 3.25 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +9.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (66%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 22.2%
Odds 4.21
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 12.1%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 44.5%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 33.7%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.4%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 66.3%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 22.1%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.6%
Odds 11.60
Show model details
Implied probability 8.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.1%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 47.9%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 12.1%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 34.3%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
BRA – GUI @ 3.25
+9.6%
Edge
Forecast →