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Home Portugal Primeira Liga FC Porto — Rio Ave

Predictions FC Porto vs Rio Ave February 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 20:30
1:0
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
D L D L D Away · last 5
Estádio Do Dragão · Porto Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
Home Win · POR
86%
Best 1.11
Draw
11%
Best 9.20
Away Win · RIO
3%
Best 19.63
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.74
Fair odds
1.57
book 1.74 · +10.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 64% · EV +10.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 11.4%
Odds 11.80
Show model details
Implied probability 8.5%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 2.5%
Odds 30.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.71
Show model details
Implied probability 36.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 36.3%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.9%
Odds 5.61
Show model details
Implied probability 17.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.6%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.1%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 38%
Odds 2.78
Show model details
Implied probability 36%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 62%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 2.5%
Odds 16.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 13.9%
Odds 7.60
Show model details
Implied probability 13.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 97.5%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
POR – RIO @ 1.74
+10.8%
Edge
Forecast →