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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Sporting CP — Famalicao

Predictions by Market: Sporting CP vs Famalicao

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 20:30
1:0
Full-time
Famalicao
Famalicao
D W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SPO
75%
Best 1.31
Draw
18%
Best 5.10
Away Win · FAM
7%
Best 9.50
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.65
Fair odds
2.32
book 2.65 · +14.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 43% · EV +14.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (57%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 17.9%
Odds 5.67
Show model details
Implied probability 17.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 6.9%
Odds 10.60
Show model details
Implied probability 9.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43.1%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 35.8%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 83.4%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.3%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16.6%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.7%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 54.2%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.8%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 6.9%
Odds 7.10
Show model details
Implied probability 14.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.1%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 24.7%
Odds 3.62
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
SPO – FAM @ 2.65
+14.2%
Edge
Forecast →