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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Sporting CP — Famalicao

Match Sporting CP vs Famalicao February 15, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 20:30
1:0
Full-time
Famalicao
Famalicao
D W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.69 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 54% · book 2.09 ✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 43% · book 2.65 ✗
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
2.15 – 0.49
Δ +1.66
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.69 — +8.5% better than the market.

Sporting CP enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid attacking edge against Famalicao's defense. Their recent form shows consistent wins, while Famalicao's patchy away results suggest a challenge in breaking down Sporting's compact block. The home side's pressing and set-piece threat could exploit Famalicao's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a lively tempo given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, hinting at an open game with scoring chances.

  • Home attacking pressure vs away defensive frailties
  • Superior recent form and home comfort
  • Potential for multiple goals in an open match

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.69 ✗ Lost
AI 64% Implied 59% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPO 4-2-3-1 · FAM 4-1-4-1
SPO · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · FAM 1 Silva 22 Fresneda 26 Diomande 25 Inácio 91 Mangas 42 Hjulmand 5 Morita 31 Guilherme 17 Trincão 20 Araújo 8 Gonçalves 25 Carević 2 García 55 Ba 16 Haas 28 Bondo 6 Looi 23 Dias 80 Santos 20 Sá 7 Sorriso 12 Elisor
Subs used · SPO
62' Catamo ↑ · Mangas ↓
76' Braganca ↑ · Morita ↓
76' Nel ↑ · Fresneda ↓
86' Vagiannidis ↑ · Guilherme ↓
86' Simoes ↑ · Goncalves ↓
Subs used · FAM
64' Pastor ↑ · Santos ↓
64' Joujou ↑ · Dias ↓
77' Almeida ↑ · Elisor ↓
86' Pena ↑ · Sa ↓
86' Beney ↑ · Sorriso ↓

📊 Statistics

SPO 1 – 0 FAM
70%
Possession (%)
30%
2.15
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.49
22
Total Shots
2
5
Shots on Target
1
9
Shots off Target
1
16
Shots Inside Box
1
14
Corner Kicks
1
4
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
19
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
3
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 0
Pedro Gonçalves
Yellow Card
▮
45+4'
Half-time · 0 – 0
52'
▮
Pedro Santos
Yellow Card
G. Catamo ↓ · R. Mangas ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
62'
64'
⇄
G. Pastor ↓ · P. Santos ↑
Substitution 1
64'
⇄
A. Joujou ↓ · Gil Dias ↑
Substitution 2
D. Braganca ↓ · H. Morita ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
76'
R. Nel ↓ · I. Fresneda ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
77'
⇄
R. Almeida ↓ · S. Elisor ↑
Substitution 3
D. Braganca
Assist · Trincao · 1–0
⚽
82'
G. Vagiannidis ↓ · Luis Guilherme ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
86'
J. Simoes ↓ · P. Goncalves ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
86'
⇄
M. Pena ↓ · G. Sa ↑
Substitution 4
86'
⇄
R. Beney ↓ · Sorriso ↑
Substitution 5
Maximiliano Araújo
Yellow Card
▮
90'
90'
▮
Gonzalo Pastor
Yellow Card
Giorgos Vagiannidis
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
Full-time · 1 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.69 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.09 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.65 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.85 — 46% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.28 — 36% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
Home Win 1.34 — 75% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.07 — 93% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 — 57% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.10 — 75% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 — 83% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.67 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 — 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.62 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 — 17% Cashed +3.50 Cashed
Away Win 10.60 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 7.10 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.32u −14% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 2.5
SPO – FAM @ 1.69
+8.5%
Edge
Forecast →