Match Sporting CP vs Famalicao February 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.69 — +8.5% better than the market.

Sporting CP enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid attacking edge against Famalicao's defense. Their recent form shows consistent wins, while Famalicao's patchy away results suggest a challenge in breaking down Sporting's compact block. The home side's pressing and set-piece threat could exploit Famalicao's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a lively tempo given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, hinting at an open game with scoring chances.

Home attacking pressure vs away defensive frailties
Superior recent form and home comfort
Potential for multiple goals in an open match

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.69 ✗ Lost

AI 64% Implied 59% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPO 4-2-3-1 · FAM 4-1-4-1

SPO · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · FAM

8 Gonçalves

Subs used · SPO

62'

Catamo ↑ ·

Mangas ↓

76'

Braganca ↑ ·

Morita ↓

76'

Nel ↑ ·

Fresneda ↓

86'

Vagiannidis ↑ ·

Guilherme ↓

86'

Simoes ↑ ·

Goncalves ↓

Subs used · FAM

64'

Pastor ↑ ·

Santos ↓

64'

Joujou ↑ ·

Dias ↓

77'

Almeida ↑ ·

Elisor ↓

86'

Pena ↑ ·

Sa ↓

86'

Beney ↑ ·

Sorriso ↓

📊 Statistics

SPO 1 – 0 FAM

70%

Possession (%)

30%

2.15

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.49

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 0

Pedro Gonçalves

Yellow Card

▮

45+4'

Half-time · 0 – 0

52'

▮

Pedro Santos

Yellow Card

G. Catamo ↓ · R. Mangas ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

64'

⇄

G. Pastor ↓ · P. Santos ↑

Substitution 1

64'

⇄

A. Joujou ↓ · Gil Dias ↑

Substitution 2

D. Braganca ↓ · H. Morita ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

76'

R. Nel ↓ · I. Fresneda ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

77'

⇄

R. Almeida ↓ · S. Elisor ↑

Substitution 3

D. Braganca

Assist · Trincao · 1–0

⚽

82'

G. Vagiannidis ↓ · Luis Guilherme ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

86'

J. Simoes ↓ · P. Goncalves ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

86'

⇄

M. Pena ↓ · G. Sa ↑

Substitution 4

86'

⇄

R. Beney ↓ · Sorriso ↑

Substitution 5

Maximiliano Araújo

Yellow Card

▮

90'

▮

Gonzalo Pastor

Yellow Card

Giorgos Vagiannidis

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Sporting CP beat Famalicao 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.15 to 0.49. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 2, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 14 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Braganca (82').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.32 units (Brier 0.200).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.69	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.09	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.65	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.85	—	46%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.28	—	36%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
Home Win	1.34	—	75%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.07	—	93%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	57%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.10	—	75%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	83%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.67	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.62	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	—	17%	Cashed	+3.50	Cashed
Away Win	10.60	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	7.10	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.32u	−14% ROI