Santa Clara vs Benfica 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.54 — +5.0% better than the market.

Benfica arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting control in this clash at Estádio de São Miguel. Santa Clara’s defensive struggles and poor home momentum contrast with Benfica’s sharper attack and steadier away performances. Expect Benfica to leverage their offensive strength against a vulnerable home defense.

Benfica’s pressing edge and superior quality
Santa Clara’s defensive frailties at home
Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.54 ✓ Cashed

AI 68% Implied 65% +0.54u

+54%

ROI on stake

Lineups

SAN 4-3-3 · BEN 4-2-3-1

SAN · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · BEN

10 Silva

Subs used · SAN

46'

Romao ↑ ·

Victor ↓

62'

Fernando ↑ ·

Paciencia ↓

62'

Tavares ↑ ·

Ferreira ↓

73'

Torrao ↑ ·

Lopes ↓

86'

Brenner ↑ ·

Klismahn ↓

Subs used · BEN

68'

Lopes Cabral ↑ ·

Schjelderup ↓

79'

Sudakov ↑ ·

Silva ↓

90'

Manu ↑ ·

Prestianni ↓

Statistics

SAN 1 – 2 BEN

53%

Possession (%)

47%

0.27

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.57

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

20 · 1 – 2

16'

⚽

V. Pavlidis

Assist · T. Araujo · 0–1

38'

⚽

Paulo Victor

Own goal · 0–2

Vinícius Lopes

Yellow Card

▮

45'

Half-time · 0 – 2

Guilherme Romao ↓ · Paulo Victor ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

G. Paciencia

Assist · Gustavo Klismahn · 1–2

⚽

47'

Gonçalo Paciência

Yellow Card

▮

59'

Fernando ↓ · G. Paciencia ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

62'

J. Tavares ↓ · P. Ferreira ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

62'

Lucas Soares

Yellow Card

▮

66'

68'

⇄

S. Lopes Cabral ↓ · A. Schjelderup ↑

Substitution 1

Welinton Torrao ↓ · Vinicius Lopes ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

73'

Frederico Venâncio

Yellow Card

▮

78'

79'

⇄

G. Sudakov ↓ · Rafa Silva ↑

Substitution 2

José Tavares

Yellow Card

▮

84'

Brenner ↓ · Gustavo Klismahn ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

86'

90'

▮

Gianluca Prestianni

Yellow Card

90'

⇄

Manu ↓ · G. Prestianni ↑

Substitution 3

90+1'

▮

Tomás Araújo

Yellow Card

Lucas Soares

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

Lucas Soares

Red Card

▮

90+2'

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Benfica won 2–1 away at Santa Clara. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.57 to 0.27. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: V. Pavlidis (16'), Paulo Victor (38'), G. Paciencia (47'). Lucas Soares was sent off in the 90+2' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.89 units (Brier 0.111).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.38	—	44%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.18	—	47%	Cashed	+1.18	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.75	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.62	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.75	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.54	—	68%	Cashed	+0.54	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.12	—	90%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.40	—	71%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.10	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.15	—	68%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.10	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	91%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	4.26	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.26	—	75%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	7.52	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	5.88	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.89u	−29% ROI

Santa Clara vs Benfica 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled