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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Rio Ave — Moreirense

Predictions Rio Ave vs Moreirense February 16, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Mon 16 Feb · 20:15
1:2
Full-time
Moreirense
Moreirense
W L W L D Away · last 5
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Vila do Conde Referee Ricardo Baixinho, Portugal
Home Win · RIO
25%
Best 3.34
Draw
28%
Best 3.12
Away Win · MOR
47%
Best 2.25
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 1.91
Fair odds
1.87
book 1.91 · +2.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 53% · EV +2.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.61
Show model details
Implied probability 38.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.3%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 59.4%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 40.6%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 33.5%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10.9%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.1%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 21.1%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.5%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 25.1%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.